Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 253.820024 286.820640 323.670271 368.088811 420.471187 480.639146 555.496308
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 204.500049 247.329477 299.517313 368.658727 459.179160 575.555602 739.667599
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 173.228151 218.362855 276.413955 358.111106 472.720175 631.910336 877.489568
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 151.529961 197.194816 258.450513 348.900008 483.136094 682.063796 1013.774422
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 140.942855 188.884022 255.759857 359.110696 521.091138 777.080437 1239.364543
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 130.083071 178.602671 248.523703 360.824207 545.304184 853.874390 1453.007376
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 118.975724 166.623383 237.155214 354.146160 554.171269 905.631378 1633.599088
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 111.308053 158.882172 231.155732 354.877831 574.988159 981.520128 1882.061288
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 102.902514 149.191946 221.031850 347.285726 579.567499 1027.371970 2079.812585
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 96.746003 142.437248 214.864743 345.542929 594.285706 1095.485368 2349.315516
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 88.645532 131.945775 201.629067 329.763828 579.794478 1100.334028 2465.496291
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 86.613509 131.079828 204.310441 342.961855 624.189197 1240.804615 2986.680653
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 85.054595 130.979768 208.475397 359.848473 680.020689 1423.396112 3720.423895
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 80.897644 126.194541 204.027659 359.670985 699.579542 1524.740902 4259.682311
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 75.699839 119.240273 195.089244 349.508343 695.175792 1564.128582 4610.961450
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 71.151861 113.114693 187.176389 340.568824 692.236030 1607.020948 5000.427241
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 69.483222 111.939605 188.301926 350.472586 735.595706 1790.095938 6056.438269
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 66.897402 108.935134 185.711003 352.134240 759.045147 1922.344283 6997.405157
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 63.550138 104.333768 179.697050 345.657761 760.747000 1988.563451 7682.546631
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 61.277087 101.565317 177.040644 346.367395 781.450324 2122.380436 8829.243740
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 58.289880 97.293770 171.105839 339.003387 779.217279 2178.953165 9604.616453
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 56.106655 94.412679 167.760240 337.312772 792.564767 2294.976802 10860.254721
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 52.690954 89.018763 158.981401 322.003032 764.929351 2254.258242 11064.523464